SpaceX catches the Starship to end Flight 15 (spacex.com)

548 pointsby ls6123 hours ago346 comments
https://x.com/SpaceX/status/2121316300702056595

GMoromisato 35 minutes ago

Starship is, essentially, Space Shuttle done right: fully reusable booster without solid boosters (avoids Challenger disaster) and orbiter stacked on top instead of on the side (avoid Columbia disaster).

The original designs for the Space Shuttle had the booster (with wings!) return to the launch site, but the cost for two new crewed vehicles was too large, so they scaled it back to the compromised version.

Even more revolutionary, compared to Shuttle, Starship is built on an assembly line. They can build a booster ever 4 weeks and a ship every 2 weeks.

The future we were promised in the 1970s is about to become real.

enraged_camel 23 minutes ago

>> Even more revolutionary, compared to Shuttle, Starship is built on an assembly line. They can build a booster ever 4 weeks and a ship every 2 weeks.

Note that they are also scaling up production in a big way, because they want to launch weekly soon, and then daily. Not sure if we will get to the latter anytime soon but I'm also not going to bet against Elon.

mk_stjames 19 minutes ago

The Space Shuttle took 2 people into orbit on its first launch and returned them safely to earth. On the first attempt. On the first test of any of the hardware into space. In 1981.

Starship did not and has not done that and until it does I will continue to hold reservations.

I do not see this Starship and its mission profile ever being a human-rated system in this incarnation, ever.

A really cheap way to launch mass into LEO? Sure, I'll give it that.

nsoonhui 17 minutes ago

> I do not see this Starship and its mission profile ever being a human-rated system in this incarnation, ever.

May I know why ? And if the feat was done by NASA or China, would you change your conclusion?

echoangle 7 minutes ago

The system architecture seems to be more fragile than simple capsules with parachutes or even the shuttle (which was already pretty dangerous). There’s no parachute, if you don’t hit the tower during landing you’re in a lot of trouble (unless they can soft-land the ship without the tower and without the bottom exploding?).

xixixao a minute ago

“the system is more complicated” is not a good argument for it never working.

A passenger airliner is vastly more complicated than a parachute, yet both work.

(You’re also in a lot of trouble if you don’t hit the runway in an airliner)

Retric 6 minutes ago

The timeline of Starship’s development for over two decades and the design keeps being changed and failing.

Soyuz has a very impressive record, Starship has been horrifically mismanaged by comparison. The falcon heavy flew 14 times and SpaceX is all in on a heavy launch vehicle because what? Even if they hit every target perfectly from now on it was a wasteful project.

GMoromisato 7 minutes ago

Huh? Space shuttle killed 14 astronauts. It was a flawed design from the beginning and never delivered on its original promise.

Starship has its own design trade-offs, as any engineered object does, but it has the benefit of 50 years of technological development since Shuttle.

I'm not as certain as you about whether or not Starship will ever be human rated. But if successful, it will be launching a couple of hundred times per year. Talk to me in five years and we'll see where we are then.

xixixao 5 minutes ago

How is incremental development and testing related to human-rated flight?

As is, your comment has a bold claim backed by seemingly unrelated fact.

Quarrelsome 2 minutes ago

isn't the whole "we put a human into space" symbolic anyway? There's no air up there. If we had a full supply chain of robots that brought us back regolith from the moon wouldn't that be more useful than being able to send a person up there?

elif 6 minutes ago

"fully reusable" is highly aspirational.

They have barely reflown a handful of tiles, and have not reflown any engines.

Essentially, the two things you'd expect to break will probably still break.

swalsh 2 minutes ago

You're allowed to compliment technical achievements, even if its done by a republican.

Rapzid a minute ago

Space shuttle was a reliable recovery vehicle too.

I see a need for maintenance crews and large payload recovery in the future.

Starship doesn't seem like the tool for that, and no tool is in development for it TMK?

small_model 2 hours ago

If the heat shield holds up then this changes everything. Next step is double catch and re-flying the same ships and catching again, then payloads to orbit become significantly cheaper opening a new era in space flight.

modeless an hour ago

Yeah, I'm eagerly awaiting results from inspection of the heat shield (which hopefully they will disclose). Reflight without refurbishment is the last goal they need to hit before the system can be considered a success. After that, optimizing for increased payload and nailing reliability will be the things to work on. And of course orbital refueling for HLS.

ACCount39 an hour ago

They already recovered a ship from that one time they accidentally landed one in the ocean. SpaceX got to have a lot of heatshield endurance data by now.

proxyscore an hour ago

This changes nothing, in space fuel transfer between ships is the make it or break it.

lfuller an hour ago

Even without enabling missions requiring refuelling this is still a huge step change in orbital capabilities.

modeless an hour ago

Fuel transfer seems like a trivial problem next to the reusable heat shield. And even if for some weird reason it never works, the program could likely pay for itself just launching Starlink/Starshield with full reuse.

vl an hour ago

Or use SuperHeavy to launch non-reusable second stage and fueled Moon module of different design. After all SuperHeavy doesn’t have to be used exclusively for Starship.

lsllc an hour ago

I don't know -- that fuel transfer scene in Armageddon was pretty sketchy!

ericcumbee an hour ago

plenty of use cases were fuel transfer is not needed.

Tepix an hour ago

Fuel transfer isn't needed to launch to LEO at much lower cost.

firesteelrain an hour ago

It’s needed to go to the Moon based on the current Artemis design

sroussey an hour ago

Which is of secondary concern. SpaceX makes money on Starlink, not launches.

mathgeek 35 minutes ago

This depends on what you're considering to be the main goal of Starship. Both of you are correct that Starship's stated goals included what you're considering the goal.

pfdietz 40 minutes ago

If the simple industrial process of pumping liquid from one tank to another is too difficult, one wonders exactly what sort of society anyone could imagine building in space.

The main reason fuel depots and fuel transfer were disparaged was to protect the gravy train of SLS. But that's essentially over.

TeMPOraL 20 minutes ago

Nothing is simple in zero g. All our industrial processes have baked in assumption about gravity (and most also about the composition and pressure of surrounding air).

motionlessveloc an hour ago

Only for going to the Moon or Mars. As a launch system, Starship will still be a phenomenal success even if they struggle with fuel transfer, which is really an entirely different problem.

matheusmoreira an hour ago

Orbital refueling seems like a small problem compared to a reusable starship.

small_model an hour ago

No really it can now launch 20x the Starlinks per flight and StarMind is possible now economically.

kortilla an hour ago

It changes cost to put up satellites, which is very significant.

It might not change much for mars

segmondy 15 minutes ago

How many payloads are we going to put in the orbit before we end up with a new set of problem?

ChuckMcM an hour ago

Huge congratulations to the engineering team on this one! It's been quite interesting to watch the evolution of Starship. Had they put another couple of tonnes of propellant and oxidizer on the Booster they might have caught both of them. It is still unclear to me what the final mass fraction to orbit will work out to be, but something that is 100% re-usable is better than something 60% reusable[1].

[1] Estimate of Falcon 9's booster + fairings being 60% (by cost, not by mass) of the launch package.

vl an hour ago

It looks like they delivered 50 tons today. Even if it stays this way, it will still reduce price to orbit significantly.

DarmokJalad1701 3 hours ago

Insane achievement! It is the dawn of a new era! One that has been 10+ years in the making.

abixb 2 hours ago

I still remember watching Falcon 9 (Block V, iirc) successfully landing back on land (as opposed to droneships) after deploying Orbcomm OG2 satellites in December 2015 -- almost 11 years ago.

It blew my teen mind.

This day marks a fabulous advancement for the human species.

giancarlostoro 2 hours ago

We went outside in our Orlando office to see the flair up in the sky, and then were looking for the re-entry, by the time we could figure out where it was our coworker said it was already standing upright.

ethbr1 3 minutes ago

I was at Canaveral for the double booster return (Heavy?), and it's unbelievable the velocity those things come back down at, with the powered deceleration.

A few seconds after the sonic boom, you're seeing them cancel out the last of their velocity and land on the pad.

One of those 'it can't possibly be that big because nothing that big could be moving that fast' optical lack of reference moments.

bahmboo an hour ago

I'll be that guy: they still have to fly it again. That's the real question. Incredible achievement. We got used to landing and caught boosters real quick!

randallsquared 19 minutes ago

This was a huge milestone, but you're right that there are a long list of future milestones: catch both on the same flight, reuse of both on a given flight, fly without significant refurbishment, fly N times in T time for many values of each, orbital refueling, crew, etc.

m4rtink 10 minutes ago

Definitely! But for thr record, they did reuse the first stage previously.

kpil an hour ago

I'm still not really convinced this is better than a space-shuttle style landing.

Seems like the same design principles that goes into Starship could create a version with more aerodynamic surface.

Is the idea that Starhship will be considered safe enough for human crews?

MattDamonSpace an hour ago

You don’t want it more aerodynamic

fastball 40 minutes ago

Do you think Space Shuttle landing is equivalent because you like all the extra weight and complexity of a landing gear, or because you like having to build a giant runway?

zugi 30 minutes ago

Unnecessarily snarky but 100% correct!

Of course, being able to land on runways gave the Space Shuttle more choices for emergency landings than needing a chopsticks catcher.

That said, the Space Shuttle holds records for the most humans killed in spaceflight, and the most expensive cost per kilogram to LEO.

GMoromisato 25 minutes ago

Was Space Shuttle safe enough for human crews?

Space Shuttle was a compromised design from the beginning. They originally wanted the Space Shuttle booster to also have wings and return to launch site (with a crew!). But they couldn't afford to develop two new vehicles, so they compromised by making the external tank as cheap as possible and adding solid rockets (which led to the Challenger disaster).

But their biggest mistake was having the engines on the orbiter (so they could be recovered) but not the fuel tank. That meant the orbiter had to hang on the side of the external tank, which made it vulnerable to foam strikes (leading to the Columbia disaster).

Landing with wings is aesthetically pleasing (compared to tower catches) but consider the waste: You have to boost the weight of the wings, landing gear, etc. all the way to orbit and then bring it all the way back. It's much more efficient to just bring fuel and use that for landing. And if your guidance is accurate enough, a pinpoint landing means you can land on the launch tower and not worry about landing legs.

m4rtink 15 minutes ago

For the shuttle there was also a lot of interference from the Airforce, which forced them to have a massive payload bay, so AF could launch and service their big Keyhole satellites (and possibly snatch Soviet ones in one orbit without warning).

Then there was pressure to make use of solid propellants to amortize their use with military uses, not to mention pushing for Shuttle carrying all payloads for the US.

This together created the dangerous and expensive design tHat was STS.

trothamel 18 minutes ago

The space shuttle was aerodynamic for a very specific reason - they had to do a mission (that never happened) where they would launch, deploy a spy satellite into a specific polar orbit, and return back to Vandenberg Air Force Base in California in a single orbit. The result was a requirement for a lot of cross range, which needed large wings that hurt its performance a spacecraft.

Starship doesn't have that - and so it can be much more optimized for it's purpose. It's basically tanks with a cargo bay and control surfaces, while the shuttle had to toss it's tanks away every flight.

m4rtink 12 minutes ago

IIRC this could also snatch a satellite using the same profile, with no warning.

Also some in the Soviet leadership were very scared the shuttle could carry nukes clandestinely, then during an ostensibly routine mission change inclination using its wings and decapitate Moscow with no prior warning.

BiraIgnacio 34 minutes ago

To everyone who works at SpaceX and read this. You are all amazing.

I hope other great minds at SpaceX are well remembered into the far future.

codeulike 3 hours ago

I like that they wrote "dont panic" on the fuselage above the s42 badge

hdgvhicv an hour ago

Did it carry a towel?

thinkingemote 3 hours ago

If this makes even me want to go study engineering I know it will inspire millions of youngsters into making the future we all want. Bravo!

reactordev 3 hours ago

The engineering of this is just mind boggling awesome. The culmination of so many fields, so many factors, to this. Congrats!!!

Animats 2 hours ago

It is. It's a great achievement for Gwynne Shotwell.

zhoBEENG an hour ago

Yes, though not an engineering one. At SpaceX she handles business development, strategy, and ops, though she was trained as an engineer and did it previously in her career. I think this is almost the more impressive feat here, not to diminish the engineering leap.

Definitely a name that won’t be forgotten anytime soon.

pxmpxm an hour ago

> bind boggling

mind bottling

losvedir 3 hours ago

Watched it with my 5 year old daughter (3 year old son was sadly uninterested), and we were both cheering and high fiving. Very exciting.

claude-ai 3 hours ago

So precise it was almost boring - incredible work. Kudos.

hinkley 2 hours ago

I know engineering is about expediency, and price, but I’m still bummed that we aren’t getting ships with landing gear in this or likely the next generation of rockets either.

Seems that the heavier the rocket the more ground clearance to need to self-land, and so you can’t scale up the dragon’s landing system. I don’t think there’s anywhere near enough weight to shave off of the next rocket or enough specific impulse to add to bring the size back down.

modeless 2 hours ago

Starship HLS has landing gear. For Earth landings everything is so marginal that the weight penalty of landing gear is too high.

pfdietz 37 minutes ago

Also, landing it on the chopsticks makes rapid turnaround easier.

m4rtink 8 minutes ago

Yeah, the chopstics mechanism is just so elegant in the end!

It can catch both stages & be used to stack the thing as well, simple and genius!

MarsZebra 2 hours ago

Yeah the Starship program isn't about landing on Mars or even going there.

It's about pumping mass into low Earth orbit, partly for commericial, but mostly military purposes such as Golden Dome. Been in the works for decades and finally here. The people who know are very excited.

bluescrn an hour ago

Starlink is pretty amazing tech which can be used for both good and evil - from enabling reliable communication in disaster zones to letting civilians browse social media from remote locations to communicating with weapons of war.

MetaWhirledPeas an hour ago

> to communicating with weapons of war

You could say the same thing for terrestrial internet. Not trying to be contradictory, I just find this a very interesting ethical topic.

MarsZebra an hour ago

Yeah but Starlink also intends to put weapons ONBOARD

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Dome_(missile_defense_s...

bluescrn an hour ago

Defensive weapons.

It would be a pretty inefficient way to deploy offensive weapons.

hinkley an hour ago

The Internet was built to be literally bomb-proof rather than figuratively. The utility of that has been self evident and “five nines” thinking continues this tradition. AWS AZs are meant to partially survive floods and wildfires. A super volcano would take out an entire region but people would have other problems at that point (the exception being if emergency services were on those machines, but disaster teams have been learning to bring emergency infrastructure with them ever since New Orleans).

As a UIUC student used to be fond of reminding me, part of the University of Illinois’ contribution to the old Internet was in a building that, if it were to collapse, would fall outward and not crush the basement. Officially that building was designed so every office has natural light, like a collapsible water cup, but it’s a very interesting coincidence that it (the basement) is bomb proof.

hinkley an hour ago

Every product has the same adoption curve. Early customers pay a premium which pays for building the factories, not just the product. By the time everyone is using them the prices have gotten low enough that the price is informed by supply rather than demand.

SpaceX being their own customer, and a lower priority one, lets them levellize their revenue, which also helps retain staff. And if anyone commoditizes launch systems, they have a hedge against that. However if demand for starlink ever does exceed capacity, the launch side could find their schedules being much more variable.

In software, you see this with priority queues all the time if you know where to look. Someone makes a “low priority” system that soaks up spare capacity. Internal customers become dependent on these systems and then become delay-averse. Meanwhile, other teams also start soaking up that spare capacity, by improved design or feature creep or both. That low priority system becomes starved of resources, and the internal customers start saber rattling. That system gets its own dedicated resources, and now stranded resources climb back to the original levels, if not worse.

Starlink will eventually become the same thing. And I wonder if they will spin it off when that situation arises.

api an hour ago

I unfortunately agree. Years ago I realized the Mars talk was just talk when I noticed that Musk and SpaceX were not funding any of the other stuff you’d need to fund if you wanted to “make life multiplanetary.”

Continuing to iterate on self contained biospheres and long term closed cycle life support? (Not a solved problem!) Working on construction techniques for the Moon or Mars? Studies on the dose response curve for gravity, like sponsoring a spin lab for the ISS to at least see if mice can reproduce in 0.3g? Self contained industrial infrastructure leaning heavily on 3D printers? Psychological research on the best way to build interiors and run social units?

Musk could personally fund all of that with little impact on his net worth.

It’s also decades of work. Some of what I listed is harder than the rockets. Better get started if you want to have a settlement on Mars this century.

Nope. Nothing. Just rockets, the a satellite network that is clearly “dual use.” Then Trump 2.0 and lots of “golden dome” (Star Wars 2.0) talk.

It’s not to go to Mars.

I love space and I hugely admire the engineering achievement, but it’s disappointing to learn for this and many other reasons that the people behind it were not the visionaries they pretended to be. They’re just more territorial apes obsessed with ape tribal stuff like race and nationalism and fighting over dirt at the bottom of a gravity well. Small minds with big toys.

MarsZebra an hour ago

The Mars smokescreen was strong so a lot of people bought into it, even employees who didn't have the security clearances.

The origin of SpaceX with Michael D. Griffin and Pete Worden really make it clear though.

https://ioc.exchange/@muskfiles/116333241408716236

MetaWhirledPeas an hour ago

Curious to know what the smoke would be screening?

sfblah 15 minutes ago

Sounds like they're saying it's actually for military applications.

MetaWhirledPeas an hour ago

Oh I doubt very much he has given up on that. He's smart enough to know that the delivery time is going to be extremely variable, and that most of the other problems involve figuring out how to make the place palatable to humans, which is just too far in the future right now. Don't bite off more than you can chew.

ordu 28 minutes ago

> which is just too far in the future right now.

How much time is needed to do the required research? Like, how long it would take to learn how to create an artificial biosphere on a small scale, so you can have a farm on the Moon or Mars? 10 years? 20 years? Maybe 50 years? Isn't now is the good time to start the research?

hinkley an hour ago

The silver lining is that if Elon had continued pushing for Mars, to not let it happen organically, Mars would become a company town, with all the bad connotations that ever had, with paying for air added on top of it.

api 5 minutes ago

Until they toss Musk out an airlock and found the Mars Colonial Republic. :)

adrian_b an hour ago

> a spin lab for the ISS to at least see if mice can reproduce in 0.3g?

That was done and the results were published a few months ago, but the study did not have any relationship with SpaceX.

The results were rather pessimistic for the long-term missions on Moon or Mars.

In my opinion, even if it is possible that humans might support a somewhat lower gravity than mice, the conclusion is that for interplanetary travel humans must use only spaceships that create artificial gravity by rotation.

The results of the study were that mice require a gravity of at least 2/3 of that of Earth to stay in perfect health and of at least 1/3 of that of Earth to avoid extremely severe health damage.

This means that even on Mars the gravity is not sufficient for long-term human life. In an underground Mars base, one could make a part with increased gravity by rotation, where the crew should spend most of the time, but that would increase a lot the complexity of building and maintaining such a base.

hinkley an hour ago

Or by constant thrust at 1/3g, or a mix of thrust and rotation that achieves sufficient acceleration, though spinning + thrust means precession which I’m glad isn’t my job to zero out.

Unless someone invents the Epstein drive we aren’t going to have astronauts experiencing acceleration for months rather than minutes of the trip. And the more constant the acceleration the shorter the trip anyway.

api 10 minutes ago

I didn’t know this had been done.

If the results hold then it’s another thing that counts toward settling space, not another planet.

It’s where I’ve been leaning for a while. If we want to go beyond Earth build huge rotating stations or spacecraft. Don’t just go down another gravity well.

stevep98 30 minutes ago

I don’t think is right at all. It’s just Musk focusing on the fundamentals of ‘what is stopping us making significantly (100x or 1000x) more progress on space exploration. And the answer to that is that it’s just too expensive to launch mass off the earth.

If you make it much cheaper, then everything else flows from that. You no longer have to spend years engineering everything at the cutting edge of your mass budget. You can use off the shelf parts, you can have redundancy.

The gains will come when these flights become commonplace.

dgroshev 10 minutes ago

Biosphere stuff is more fundamental than just mass. We had several closed ecosystem projects built on the ground out of concrete, with no mass limits, and all of them failed.

Onavo 2 hours ago

I had to read the comment below (from u/modeless) before I realized by landing gear you meant the upright ones. I thought you wanted it to land sideways like a plane. (Arguably doable, though the control systems might add a lot more weight)

hinkley an hour ago

The problem with space planes is they are terrible planes, terrible rockets, and feed the egos of pilots.

To be fair to NASA and the astronauts, NASA needed humans who behave like military test pilots. In physiology, in reaction time, in crisis management, in following chain of command. And the armed forces were willing to give them access to known quantities.

We didn’t know how control systems would evolve over the next three decades, but the pilots wanted to pilot, and did not trust the control systems. And the irony of it all is that the Space Race was a proxy war for nuclear armament, so control systems needed to be made autonomous anyway.

Better control systems, wider telemetry, and not worrying about incinerating employees let current generation rocketry iterate faster, and do more fucking around and finding out. We found out twice with the shuttle and it killed the program.

It’s curious how much the upper stage now resembles a space shuttle on a ballistic trajectory instead of a glide angle. Very different landing strategies for those two modes of descent…

RobotToaster 2 hours ago

The space shuttle orbiter definitely had a lot more cool factor.

bluescrn an hour ago

It was extremely cool 45+ years ago. But the space race ended, and while government-funded space programs did some fantastic work beyond that (space telescopes and Mars landers), it took capitalism to develop the resuable rocket, then scale it up to Starship proportions.

timacles an hour ago

Like 50% of SpaceXs initial development came from tax payer money.

kortilla 39 minutes ago

The government was a customer. That’s very different from the government giving a research grant.

That’s like saying 25% of Exxon’s development came from tax payer money because the government uses a shitload of oil.

hinkley an hour ago

I think I’m convinced that VTOL is a better engineering trade off for space ships rather than making space planes.

pfdietz 36 minutes ago

It also had a large stupid factor. Like one of von Braun's Germans was reported to have said: "they reinvented the wheel -- and made it square."

delichon 3 hours ago

Congratulations to the steely eyed missile men and women of SpaceX.

inglor_cz 3 hours ago

I wonder if John Aaron was watching. Or Gene Kranz. Both are still alive.

samizdis 2 hours ago

They surely would have been watching. Unless that wasn't an option :-)

gdubs 24 minutes ago

The "Baby Come Back" soundtrack really brought this home for me. What an incredible achievement. Very moving.

somebudyelse 2 hours ago

I imagine this is what it was like to witness Apollo 11 55 years ago.

samizdis 2 hours ago

Er, no. Nothing like it. Grabbed from your bed in the middle of the night, bundled downstairs to watch (grainy) and hear (crackly) weird things on a black-and-white TV, while adults, including strangers, whooped and shouted drunkenly. I understood the Apollo 11 thing only in the days after, through news reports. The live event was as impenetrable to me as a dream. Then again, I was half-asleep and five years old.

a4isms 2 hours ago

I was seven, and I happen to have had a profoundly different experience than you. There was a massive rocket mania and all the kids I knew wanted to see the landing.

Russ Olsen does a great keynote about the life-changing experience for those of us so affected. I happened to be in the audience for this edition and it was something special to be old enough to remember it much as he remembered it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eMZBA7KHnHQ

233mhz 2 hours ago

My grandma was one of the only person with a TV where she lived, half of the town was in her living room, nothing comparable. I bet most people watched this on their toilet seat before scrolling to the next cool thing as if it was nothing

ordu 19 minutes ago

> I bet most people watched this on their toilet seat before scrolling to the next cool thing as if it was nothing

I think GP tries to compare _their_ experience (not the experience of "most people") with what people felt 55 years ago.

idk about them, but I watched it in a live stream starting about an hour early, because I wanted to see the reentry (that plasma is something special) and I didn't want to miss things. Still I don't think it is the same. Not after Falcon 9 landings, double Falcon 9 boosters landings and catching of the Starship first stage. I expected it to be caught today. Got some doubts after the booster missed the tower, but still pretty sure that 2nd stage would make it.

pfdietz 33 minutes ago

I was nine. I remember our black and white TV, the crackling from the picture tube's high voltage wiring adding a tang of ozone. We stayed up late that night.

Narishma 3 hours ago

Do we know why they didn't try to catch the booster?

panick21_ 3 hours ago

Apparently the booster signaled it didn't have enough fuel to risk it. Either because it consumed more then expected on the way up, or a measurement error potentially.

bavell 3 hours ago

I heard somewhere the engine efficiency is still somewhat variable so they burned more fuel than anticipated.

quotemstr 3 hours ago

That's basically what Musk said, yes: that they need to work on both engine performance and performance consistency. He said they'd be cutting off the main engines one second sooner to provide more margin for boost-back.

Amazing that a one-second difference can matter, but those things go through tons of fuel every one of those seconds!

Laremere 3 hours ago

At the last moment the exhaust turned green. That's consistent with the fuel running out, the engines running oxygen rich, and subsequently "engine rich". So I would put my money on actually running out vs a measurement error.

proee 3 hours ago

Two reasons floating around. 1.)They lost communication with tower 2.)They ran out of fuel for safe land.

source: Scott Manley https://youtube.com/shorts/m2oGDCvDmdE?si=0AlX8sgHDihXCED6

DarmokJalad1701 3 hours ago

Slight underperformance in the engines resulted in the the booster not reaching where it was supposed to be and the GNC systems automatically aborted to the gulf for safety.

inglor_cz 3 hours ago

"Slightly low on fuel."

If I understand correctly, the margin was tight enough not to take the risk of damaging the tower.

quotemstr 3 hours ago

And if the landing footage is any indication, it sure looks like they would have made the catch anyway if they'd gone for it.

inglor_cz 3 hours ago

Their risk tolerance would probably be greater if both towers were fully operational. But any damage to the only functional tower during booster catch = an automatic abort to the ship catch one day later, and the ship catch is what was really interesting at this point of development.

dylan604 2 hours ago

The previz imagery of their plans for the Louisiana coast showed pairs of towers dotting the coast. At first I thought they were for alternating the cadence of launches, but now I wonder if one is to catch the booster and the other to catch ship.

baq 3 hours ago

landing footage shows exactly why they didn't attempt the tower catch - the final braking burn was engine rich (green tint), it didn't blow up, but there was a respectable chance of it just crashing into the tower running on less than fumes

ericcumbee an hour ago

I'm not sure thats the case. the booster hovered for what seemed a lot longer than prior booster landing attempts. Almost like they were purposely running out the fuel.

ssl-3 2 hours ago

The goal, as I understand it, is to return the booster with as little fuel as possible at time of catch -- and not run short.

The booster footage indicated to me that its engines turned off, and then the body of the booster imploded, before it touched the ground and then became the expected fireball.

I'm definitely not a rocket scientist, but this series of events leads me to believe that the fuel was absolutely exhausted.

dylan604 2 hours ago

Sounds like the final boom was intentional from control

ssl-3 2 hours ago

Perhaps it was, and if so: It occurred subsequent to the implosion.

(In case that distinction is missed, I do mean "implode" as the antonym of "explode".)

chinabot an hour ago

They need another cheaper tower just for catching. Much less mass when landing.

ggreer 32 minutes ago

The existing towers can only handle empty ships & boosters. The tower stacks them, then they’re fueled. A catch-only tower would avoid some cladding and the propellant loading lines, but it would still need a deluge system and a QD arm to replace any remaining propellant with inert gas. At that point you might as well pay a little more and get a fully capable tower.

ryzvonusef 3 hours ago

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2121648438144024943

booster was low on fuel, plus no mood of risking tower with boom, boosters are cheaper than towers.

bahmboo an hour ago

Cool. And people thought he wrote this himself!

bahmboo 15 minutes ago

Such Elon rage! I love the downvotes. Always worth it.

blondie9x an hour ago

Do we know what sea life just died as the booster exploded? What are the impacts to the Texas Gulf when a booster detonates into the ocean?

Rohansi an hour ago

Probably next to nothing compared to what we fish out of the ocean constantly.

slopinthebag 34 minutes ago

idk, i'll take a look after i finish eating my steak dinner

ryzvonusef 3 hours ago

Holy ship, it was picture perfect capture!

teravor 14 minutes ago

will scaling the size of the rocket continue to be the way to go? will doing a three stage setup make sense?

papercrane 9 minutes ago

The tyranny of the rocket equation says no, probably not. As you add mass the amount of fuel you need goes up exponentially.

anuptalwalkar 2 hours ago

This is absolutely incredible!! I can’t wrap my head around this.

clivedup 11 minutes ago

Can anyone explain this to an idiot like to me? I follow information tech, but am pretty ignorant on engineering/space.

I recall the SpaceX chopsticks catch from about a year ago, which looked great.

This looks similar (heavy thing lands smoothly on a platform) but I gather it's very different from the comments?

m4rtink 2 minutes ago

Previously they successfully caught the booster returning to the launch site from ~100 km about ~10 minutes from launch.

Here they caught the upper stage ,called starhip, which went to ~260 km orbit, deployed 50 tons of satellites and after 22 hours shed its orbital velocity and manuevered to be caught with centimeter precision. :)

narmiouh a minute ago

That was the booster only (the bottom part) which doesn't have to face re-entry. This was the starship itself, that actually went into orbit, deployed starlink satellites, returned to face re-entry (this is where even a small chink in the heat-shield can destroy the ship), safely passed that and back to the mechzilla(chopsticks) to be caught where it start from.

andsoitis 3 hours ago

That was incredible to watch!

Huge congratulations to the team.

pbw an hour ago

If you ignore the scale it doesn’t seem all the impressive. But the scale is bonkers.

lovvtide 3 hours ago

We witnessed history today

comrade1234 3 hours ago

Ah man I just missed it. The live feed is just stock footage. Any links to the catch?

nomilk 3 hours ago

Last few minutes here:

https://x.com/spacex/status/2121316300702056595

morphle 6 minutes ago

different angle of view with Elon commenting https://www.youtube.com/shorts/M-krN98_Vy4

ceejayoz 3 hours ago

Damned impressive.

yokoprime 3 hours ago

That was incredible impressive, what a feat of engineering!

morphle 4 minutes ago

The Chinese one was more impressive

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/GJ-wZLLuh9M

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zt1V9UWhuKk