Neural networks are clean (already-clean.goodfire.com)
sebmellen 5 hours ago
His launch post gives good context not found in the blog:
> interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had
> with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works
devy 2 hours ago
The most iconic line was the last sentence:
a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works
This feels like the watershed moment, again if Nick is proven right, as massive as the AlexNet victory in the 2012 ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge, exactly as Nick pointed out.Also, I suspect what Nick hinted at, might be the discovery of earliest RSI work.
with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different.mentalgear 2 hours ago
Are those the agentic tools the LLM developed for you? How can you be sure they can be trusted and that you even understand them correctly and are not biased towards making you feel like they are trustworthy? This is exactly the AI2027 scenario where researchers are fooled by their own super AI telling them what they want to hear ("our model solved alignment!") while successfully hiding its true intention.
Also Yudkowsky's Cat-Belling would like a serious word with Nick. (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SwYBLQvo8MddDcCwz/cat-bellin...)
Animats an hour ago
That's very encouraging. For quite a while, neural nets were considered an incomprehensible black box. That paper shows they're not. Real progress.
QuadmasterXLII 18 minutes ago
bluejay2387 4 hours ago
qt31415926 3 hours ago
QuadmasterXLII 9 minutes ago
lukewarm707 2 hours ago
"The move from a structuralist account in which capital is understood to structure social relations in relatively homologous ways to a view of hegemony in which power relations are subject to repetition, convergence, and rearticulation brought the question of temporality into the thinking of structure, and marked a shift from a form of Althusserian theory that takes structural totalities as theoretical objects to one in which the insights into the contingent possibility of structure inaugurate a renewed conception of hegemony as bound up with the contingent sites and strategies of the rearticulation of power."
NaiveEmpiricist an hour ago
Animats an hour ago
The above quote is from "The world's worst writing".
Drupon 26 minutes ago
Not surprising that this philosophical philistinism is from an Anglo publication.
astrange 8 minutes ago
> Althusserian theory
though I think using this term is rather un-feminist because of the part where he killed his wife, but basically continental philosophers will forgive you for anything as long as you're a French communist.
aesthesia 2 hours ago
ambicapter 2 hours ago
ks2048 5 hours ago
https://already-clean.goodfire.com/microscope/medium.html?la...
measurablefunc 5 hours ago
D-Machine 4 hours ago
cscheid 4 hours ago
hey, I don't know how to say this less directly, but: you're talking a lot about Rice's theorem in your comments, and I think you're using it way too broadly (look, I get it. It's a wild, mindblowing theorem). But it only applies when you take the claim in the piece to be much more general than it has to be, and when you take the narrow claim of the paper (current specific LLMs can be fruitfully analyzed with the tools we have), Rice's theorem just isn't at play.
The math analog is: you're right that the Halting problem says there are many unprovable things, but Lean + mathlib are still incredibly useful, and the halting theorem doesn't actually stop that.
> neural networks are algorithms
Again, that invites an interpretation that is too broad. Very concretely: any one neural network is a _single finite network that you can write as a single formula_. (Another analogy: we can't have an algorithm that solves the general quintic, but we can prove useful things about many specific quintics.)
measurablefunc 20 minutes ago
jimbokun 4 hours ago
za_creature 3 hours ago
... are they?
Algorithms are predictable:
1. it's really difficult to produce true randomness in an algorithm, which is why there's a whole area of study surrounding the qualities of pseudo-randomness, specifically with regards to the generation of cryptographic material with most conclusions being that we should draw entropy from the environment (e.g. electrical noise as cloudflare does - the lava lamp is a distraction)
2. when algorithms are not predictable despite being mathematically sound, this is indicative of a problem nowadays called "numerical stability" which again spawned its own area of study.
CGoL shows how really simple rules (couple of bytes of data) can lead to extremely complex outcomes and you have the BB turing-golf aspect as proof of the worst case scenario.
And with current models being measured in hundreds of gigabytes, with frontier labs deprecating then removing the "temperature" parameter (which never worked to begin with, temp=0 did not result in reproducible results), where exactly is the confidence of this 10^10 prediction coming from?
antonvs an hour ago
You probably know that non-determinism in real-world inference comes from deliberately stochastic features like temperature, from implementation choices like distributed and parallel computation, and numerical effects like floating point precision.
The fact that a neural network's execution can be nondeterministic doesn't mean that the network stops being an algorithm.
The point you're making boils down to speculation that the accidental non-determinism involved in real-world inference is significant enough to undermine or negate interpretability findings based on the algorithms. That would need to be demonstrated.
The CGoL and BB examples demonstrate what might be possible in a worst-case scenario, but they're only analogies in this context. It's far from clear that real models suffer from such effects to a significant degree. You might actually be better off talking about the butterfly effect!
zygentoma 3 hours ago
fxwin 3 hours ago
juanjmanfredi 2 hours ago
ok_dad an hour ago
fluxusars an hour ago
grungegun 27 minutes ago
giveaccountpls 25 minutes ago
voganmother42 17 minutes ago
tgarrett 10 minutes ago
x312 42 minutes ago
The idea is: a model may only have 100M neurons or whatever. But there are infinite concepts in the world. Therefore, models have to "stuff" multiple concepts per neuron.
How do you do that? Theres two ways:
1. Each neuron handles similar concepts. One neuron for dogs, a separate neuron one for cars, etc.
2. Each neuron handles a bundle of unrelated concepts. One neuron handles dogs and cars. Another neuron handles cats and numbers. And so on.
Historically, people thought #2 was correct because many neurons were found that seemingly represented multiple concepts. #2 had a cool name (polysemanticity) and was promoted in OpenAI/Anthropic blogs so it had a lot of traction.
However, this blog says #2 is wrong. Actually, the dog/car neuron is just a "V shape neuron". So #2 was just methodological error, and #1 was right all along. This is all the blog is saying.
tuvix 5 hours ago
antics 3 hours ago
Once sequenced, the thinking goes, we'll be able to do things like: explain and anticipate failures; predict what happens when you modulate the pathway an input takes on its way to becoming output; reconstruct algorithms the models have learned.
I'm not 100% sure this will work out like the mechinterp people think. If the neural representations and pathways are "clean" (organized into a a meaningful-to-humans hierarchy), it seems at least very plausible that the behaviors that AI xrisk people are worried about will mostly boil down to straightforward synthesis (i.e., mostly-linear-interpolation) of mostly-well-cataloged knowledge. And if that is true, then it does not seem hopeful that there would be a way to prevent the output they are worried about, other than just removing a bunch of the knowledge. So maybe there is no alignment solution at all.
benlivengood 2 hours ago
antics an hour ago
jacquesm an hour ago
stratos123 5 hours ago
smokel an hour ago
lhd1 28 minutes ago
bob1029 6 hours ago
For example, a trillion-parameter transformer model built using many layers is likely significantly easier to read than one that only has a few million parameters but was constructed using neuroevolution over one gigantic layer.
The degree to which a model can be quantized without losing its performance also likely contributes to interpretability. The redundancy can help humans lock onto patterns. If there is no redundancy at all (everything is a surprise in information theoretical terms), then the stream of parameters will look indistinguishable from cosmic background radiation.
jacquesm 5 hours ago
Why do you believe this?
D-Machine 5 hours ago
jacquesm 4 hours ago
D-Machine 4 hours ago
> There have been large multitudes of articles by others who are arguing the opposite
Also, Nick's entire article is framed such that, yes, plenty of others have argued this, and even HE used to believe the opposite, but now does not. So your point about other articles here seems to me to be a sort of non-sequitur.
jacquesm 4 hours ago
D-Machine 4 hours ago
EDIT: Actually the article makes the distinction at one point, but the emotional / hopeful thrust of the article relies heavily on an assumption that understandable post-hoc descriptions of e.g. neurons and circuits (model components) are going to help lead to real mechanistic explanations and more specific model design.
This has not so clearly been the case in other fields (e.g. neuroscience, human psychology, economics, etc), because the problem of emergentism / the whole generally being much more than the sum of its parts / components.
jacquesm 3 hours ago
kmeisthax 4 hours ago
This is a Chinese character that can refer to goats, rams, and several other kinds of "medium-sized animal with thick wooly coats and horns". English has no direct equivalent; we have to be too specific when we talk about these animals.
A model with a small number of neurons has to compact its concepts in order to fit within the parameter count while reducing loss. OP's article shows that the compaction is usually generalization: "goat" and "ram" get compressed into "羊". The canonical example of superposition, an image model where "car" feeds into a bunch of "dog" features, was shown to be actually generalization. In a sense, the model was so small that its optimizer didn't have the parameter budget to distinguish between "car" and "dog"; it has a single set of "thing that moves fast" features.
So basically, really small models are merging features into semantic buckets that are so generalized they don't make sense to big human brains unless we really, really squint. The buckets chosen happen to be what has the lowest loss, of course.
gavinray 2 hours ago
jacquesm 2 hours ago
But from my earliest experiments with this stuff that's not really what happens. Yes, you get 'feature like' regions in the models. But those feature like regions, even though they encode something particular do not encode concepts the way we would normally use them and I fail to see how this pathway would lead to an explainable model in the sense that would could use something simpler than the model itself to predict its output with a high degree of fidelity.
bob1029 4 hours ago
jacquesm 4 hours ago
I'm fine with taking this article at the high level conceptual level, that's effectively the kind of thinking that led to MOE to begin with. But I don't see that as a pathway to being able to 'explain' a model. Because if you could actually explain a model you could engineer the weights, you wouldn't need any training because it implies that you can improve on the model by simply performing surgery on the weights to get it to do what it does but better. Now, obviously, unlike the author I'm a complete nobody but for the last two years or so I've been trying very hard to understand what is going on under the hood.
It's akin to feature engineering - or rather, the lack thereof - and to see a strong suggestion that we maybe be able to reverse that is interesting, but absent hard proof at how a particular model reached a particular conclusion it is difficult to give that a lot of weight right now. It is possible that such proof is buried somewhere in TFA and I overlooked it during reading. But I think this is speculative rather than that it proves anything and before I'm going to be convinced I would like a little more evidence.
TeMPOraL an hour ago
Crude analogy: a Fourier transform of a photo looks like white noise with some abstract geometric patterns on top. You can't see the photo in it. But if you apply the same transform again, suddenly you get the photo back. If you try altering the DFT image, you can affect the photo's appearance everywhere, all at once, but it's hard to fundamentally change what it shows. You quickly discover that all pixels of an image contribute to every pixel of the DFT, and vice versa. There's a well-defined connection between the two, and it allows for some useful engineering, but in sense of understanding what's on the image, it's about the maximally unhelpful representation there is.
Point being, there obviously is some kind of structure in the way LLMs represent their training data, so if all we see is noise, perhaps we're looking at a bad representation of it.
2001zhaozhao 4 hours ago
> The more we read [the neural network] the way its own readers do, the more interpretable I think it will look. We should be wary of reading it too much like a human, and concluding it’s messy just because it doesn’t fit our preconceived concepts.
cosmojg 3 hours ago
adsharma an hour ago
yurimo 5 hours ago
This approach is part of a way some researchers in the field approach interp, (me including) because I am personally cautious of developing some new representation model that claims to be the way we should represent the network. It is another layer of abstraction that takes us away from core model components, very often this requires training a separate model that was not on its own a part of original model organism during training (SAE).
I would argue that models will likely be further increasing in complexity, not just in size, when model trains continuously and becomes adaptive yet parameter count does not change, it is not hard to imagine that neurons may reorganize themselves to pack more information.
NaiveEmpiricist an hour ago
And emergence doesn't need to involve much of the LLM's weights:
> In preliminary audits of Qwen3-32B, we estimate that roughly 90% of neuron poles have one main job, often with small related offshoots; another ~7% have two related jobs; and only ~2-4% are not yet understood
If those ~2-4% are the central hubs of emergent cognition, then understanding 96%-98% of the weights may be less valuable than the author thinks.
bubbluppugus 2 hours ago
Also how it goes is this new consensus will be a leaky abstraction and we'll keep conjuring new words to describe new rhetorical features and bloat the corpus of philosophy until everyone is over the whole concept and then we'll start over with a whole new arbitrary academic philosophy for "running algebra on a computer"
daemonk 3 hours ago
Perhaps our anthropomorphic understanding of data is biasing what objective features there actually are in the dataset.
I wonder if we can study the graph similarities of various models, do we see a convergence of structures that encapsulate certain concepts. And would that convergence be due to just how humans have narrowly defined the concept in our language, or is there something inherent to the concept that allows it to converge. If we compare the same concept in different languages (ie. chinese vs english), does this convergence disappear?
pishpash 2 hours ago
scrlk 2 hours ago
TeMPOraL 2 hours ago
pseudologos_ 2 hours ago
root_axis 2 hours ago
It's interesting to observe that human reasoning is still the barometer of what "reasonably adjacent" means in the context of a NN's structure.
mariano54 an hour ago
LarsDu88 4 hours ago
Nick is looking at a 32B model, which certainly has to compress less... Now we have 10 trillion parameter models... do they need to compress at all? As far as I can tell, experiments show that Fable has basically memorized every lat/long position on the map of the earth can can tell you at a glance whether your standing in the ocean or not based on your coordinates
bschne 4 hours ago
teruakohatu 4 hours ago
Memorising a small shape file of the earth’s continents can allow you to determine if a person is on land or in water.
jimbokun 4 hours ago
semiquaver 3 hours ago
soulofmischief 4 hours ago
euleriancon 3 hours ago
'If it switched to superposition, we should see overlapping mixtures on top of each other, ... But that’s not what we see. The neurons stay interpretable and generalized, but coarser'
bilsbie 2 hours ago
baq 2 hours ago
qbit42 3 hours ago